Innovator Etfs Trust Etf Performance

IMAR Etf   30.30  0.07  0.23%   
The etf retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.23, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Innovator ETFs' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Innovator ETFs is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Innovator ETFs Trust are ranked lower than 15 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively invariable basic indicators, Innovator ETFs is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price agitation, may contribute to short-term losses for the retail investors. ...more

Innovator ETFs Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,929  in Innovator ETFs Trust on November 9, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  101.00  from holding Innovator ETFs Trust or generate 3.45% return on investment over 90 days. Innovator ETFs Trust is currently generating 0.056% in daily expected returns and assumes 0.2844% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 2% of etfs are less volatile than Innovator, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Innovator ETFs is expected to generate 1.71 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 2.88 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.2 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Innovator ETFs Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Innovator Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 30.30 90 days 30.30 
about 9.76
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Innovator ETFs to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 9.76 (This Innovator ETFs Trust probability density function shows the probability of Innovator Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Innovator ETFs has a beta of 0.23. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Innovator ETFs average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Innovator ETFs Trust will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Innovator ETFs Trust has an alpha of 0.0279, implying that it can generate a 0.0279 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Innovator ETFs Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Innovator ETFs

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Innovator ETFs Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
30.0130.2930.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
29.8030.0830.36
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
29.9130.1930.47
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
29.2229.8730.52
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Innovator ETFs. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Innovator ETFs' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Innovator ETFs' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Innovator ETFs Trust.

Innovator ETFs Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Innovator ETFs is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Innovator ETFs' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Innovator ETFs Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Innovator ETFs within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.23
σ
Overall volatility
0.44
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

About Innovator ETFs Performance

Assessing Innovator ETFs' fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Innovator ETFs' financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Innovator ETFs is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.